Áreas de maior preocupação

Motivo de preocupação

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Current Observations

Heavy fighting in Leer in late November forced an unknown number of civilians to flee the UN protection site in Leer town.  

Motivo de preocupação

Boko Haram conflict continues to cause major disruption to livelihoods in the northeast. Large populations remain heavily dependent on humanitarian assistance for food access, the majority of whom are in Borno State.

Current Observations

Recent Boko Haram attacks in northern Adamawa State and various locations in Borno State highlight the group’s continued disruption of livelihoods and marketing activities. Food prices have declined seasonally, but remain well above average.

Motivo de preocupação

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

Current Observations

Imports continue through Aden, and a humanitarian aid ship docked in Al Hudaydah on November 26. Additional imports are needed through Red Sea ports in order to assure sufficient supplies of essential commodities. 

Motivo de preocupação

The April to June 2017 gu season was well below average and the 2017 October to December deyr season is forecast to be below-average. This follows large rainfall deficits in 2016 for both gu and deyr seasons.

Current Observations

Little to no 2017/18 deyr production is expected in agropastoral areas of Hiraan and Southern Rainfed Agropastoral livelihood zone of Lower Shabelle due to very poor rainfall.

Motivo de preocupação

Severe drought over the past year has resulted in very large livestock losses in Ethiopia’s Somali Region, which has sharply reduced household food and income access.

Current Observations

Following periods of heavy deyr/hagaya rainfall in early November, rainfall has been much lighter and sporadic between mid-November and early December, particularly in eastern Somali Region. 

Outras áreas de preocupação

Motivo de preocupação

The 2017 long rains marked the second consecutive season of drought across the majority of Kenya’s pastoral and marginal agricultural areas, which affected livestock productivity and crop production.

Current Observations

During the week of November 21, which is typically at the height of the short rains season, there was suppressed rainfall over northern Kenya, and a strengthening of rainfall deficits in the southeast.

Motivo de preocupação

Ongoing conflict in the Kasai region since August 2016 has caused ongoing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access their livelihoods.

Current Observations

Currently, in the height of the Kasai region lean season, staple foods imported from neighboring provinces and countries are available in local markets, but household purchasing power remains low, further restricting households’ access to food.

Motivo de preocupação

Widespread conflict, poor rainfed staple production, and weak casual labor markets are the primary drivers of acute food insecurity, which is expected to be more extensive in early 2018 than during the previous lean season.

Current Observations

Cumulative precipitation for the ongoing wet season through May 2018 is expected to be below-average to average. However, timing and frequency of spring rainfall is likely to be a major determinant of 2018 staple harvest outcomes.

Áreas de maior preocupação

País ou região Motivo de preocupação Current Observations
South Sudan

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Heavy fighting in Leer in late November forced an unknown number of civilians to flee the UN protection site in Leer town.  

Nigeria

Boko Haram conflict continues to cause major disruption to livelihoods in the northeast. Large populations remain heavily dependent on humanitarian assistance for food access, the majority of whom are in Borno State.

Recent Boko Haram attacks in northern Adamawa State and various locations in Borno State highlight the group’s continued disruption of livelihoods and marketing activities. Food prices have declined seasonally, but remain well above average.

Yemen

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

Imports continue through Aden, and a humanitarian aid ship docked in Al Hudaydah on November 26. Additional imports are needed through Red Sea ports in order to assure sufficient supplies of essential commodities. 

Somalia

The April to June 2017 gu season was well below average and the 2017 October to December deyr season is forecast to be below-average. This follows large rainfall deficits in 2016 for both gu and deyr seasons.

Little to no 2017/18 deyr production is expected in agropastoral areas of Hiraan and Southern Rainfed Agropastoral livelihood zone of Lower Shabelle due to very poor rainfall.

Ethiopia

Severe drought over the past year has resulted in very large livestock losses in Ethiopia’s Somali Region, which has sharply reduced household food and income access.

Following periods of heavy deyr/hagaya rainfall in early November, rainfall has been much lighter and sporadic between mid-November and early December, particularly in eastern Somali Region. 

Outras áreas de preocupação

País ou região Motivo de preocupação Current Observations
Kenya

The 2017 long rains marked the second consecutive season of drought across the majority of Kenya’s pastoral and marginal agricultural areas, which affected livestock productivity and crop production.

During the week of November 21, which is typically at the height of the short rains season, there was suppressed rainfall over northern Kenya, and a strengthening of rainfall deficits in the southeast.

DRC

Ongoing conflict in the Kasai region since August 2016 has caused ongoing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access their livelihoods.

Currently, in the height of the Kasai region lean season, staple foods imported from neighboring provinces and countries are available in local markets, but household purchasing power remains low, further restricting households’ access to food.

Afghanistan

Widespread conflict, poor rainfed staple production, and weak casual labor markets are the primary drivers of acute food insecurity, which is expected to be more extensive in early 2018 than during the previous lean season.

Cumulative precipitation for the ongoing wet season through May 2018 is expected to be below-average to average. However, timing and frequency of spring rainfall is likely to be a major determinant of 2018 staple harvest outcomes.

Os nossos Parceiros

A Rede de Sistemas de AlertaPrecoce de Fome é líder na provisão de alertas precoces e análises relativas à insegurança alimentar. Estabelecida em 1985 com o fim de auxiliar os responsáveis pela tomada de decisões a elaborar planos para crises humanitárias, a FEWS NET provê análises baseadas em evidências em cerca de 35 países. Entre os membros implementadores refere-se a NASA , NOAA, USDA e o USGS, assim como a Chemonics International Inc. e a Kimetrica. Leia mais sobre o nosso trabalho.

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